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Futures climb as Treasury yields ease ahead of key inflation data

2023-09-29 17:57
U.S. stock index futures rose on Friday as Treasury yields eased from multi-year highs and powered gains in
Futures climb as Treasury yields ease ahead of key inflation data

U.S. stock index futures rose on Friday as Treasury yields eased from multi-year highs and powered gains in megacap stocks, while investors awaited a crucial inflation metric to assess the outlook for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy.

Apple, Microsoft, Tesla, Alphabet, and Amazon.com advanced between 0.7% and 1.4% in premarket trading as two-year and 10-year Treasury yields declined.

"A move lower in bond yields has given equity markets a much-needed reprieve," said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade.

With fears of high oil prices fueling inflation, investors are awaiting the U.S. central bank's preferred inflation metric- the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, seen increasing 0.5% in August against a 0.2% gain in July.

The core rate, which excludes the volatile food and energy components, is expected to have increased 0.2% in August, similar to July's reading.

"If the Core PCE Price Index print produces any sort of surprise to the upside, then this reprieve for risk assets may be short lived. Any signs of core pressures rising would increase the odds of a November hike," Waterer said.

Traders' bets on the benchmark rate remained unchanged in November and December at around 83% and 66%, respectively, according to CME's FedWatch tool.

Meanwhile, a 25-basis-point rate cut is being priced in as early as March, growing to around 36% in June and July.

U.S. consumer sentiment data for September is also due after the opening bell.

At 4:56 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 133 points, or 0.39%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 17.25 points, or 0.4%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 85 points, or 0.57%.

Meanwhile, investors gauged the prospects of averting a government shutdown as the Democratic-led Senate forged ahead on Thursday with a bipartisan stopgap, while the House began voting on partisan Republican spending bills.

Wall Street ended higher on Thursday, with investors assessing a fresh batch of economic data that depicted a generally stable economy with some pockets of weakness.

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq are poised for their worst monthly showing of the year amid uncertainty around interest rates. All the three indexes are set for their first quarterly decline in 2023.

Riding the current of higher crude prices, energy is set to emerge as the only major S&P 500 sector to notch monthly gains. Meanwhile, rate-sensitive information technology and real estate were on track to be the worst hit.

Among single stocks, Nike jumped 7.9% after the sportswear maker posted better-than-expected first-quarter profit.

(Reporting by Ankika Biswas in Bengaluru; Editing by Arun Koyyur)