Australian coal continues to make inroads among Chinese buyers, adding to pressure on domestic prices, with new shipments climbing to their highest level since Beijing halted imports in the fall of 2020.
That ban ended at the start of this year and China’s appetite for the high-quality coal supplied by Australia is gaining momentum amid concerns that rising domestic production includes too much lower-grade fuel. Australian cargoes in April of mostly thermal coal for power plants surged 75% from the prior month to 3.89 million tons, according to Chinese customs data.
That puts Australia’s share of imports at 10%, almost double the level seen in March. Although a bigger volume of Australian coal was recorded in November 2021, those were previous shipments stranded by the ban that took as long as a year to clear customs.
At the same time, Russia’s coal exports to China dropped from the record level hit in March, as did its crude oil shipments. Seaborne Russian gas cargoes also fell from the previous month. The moderation in sales comes as Russian leaders visit Shanghai on Tuesday to help cement Moscow’s importance as a supplier of commodities to its eastern neighbor and strategic partner.
China’s total coal purchases fell slightly in April to 40.68 million tons, although that was still their third-highest tally ever and shipments have increased 89% over the year to date. The benchmark price at the port of Qinhuangdao has dropped to its lowest since the start of last year as the rising tide of imports lands at a time of seasonally weak demand.
Elevated stockpiles at Chinese ports could force traders to dump coal, pressuring prices further, before warming temperatures and improved economic activity help clear the surplus, according to a note from Fengkuang Coal Logistics.
The Week’s Diary
(All times Beijing unless noted otherwise.)
Tuesday, May 23
- Russia-China Business Forum in Shanghai
- SNEC Photovoltaic Power Expo in Shanghai, day 1
Wednesday, May 24
- CCTD’s weekly online briefing on Chinese coal, 15:00
- SNEC Photovoltaic Power Expo in Shanghai, day 2
Thursday, May 25
- Shanghai Futures Exchange Derivatives Forum, day 1
- SNEC Photovoltaic Power Expo in Shanghai, day 3
Friday, May 26
- China weekly iron ore port stockpiles
- Shanghai exchange weekly commodities inventory, ~15:30
- Shanghai Futures Exchange Derivatives Forum, day 2
- SNEC Photovoltaic Power Expo in Shanghai, day 4
- HOLIDAY: Hong Kong
Saturday, May 27
- China industrial profits for April, 09:30
On the Wire
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